Brandy Norwood transforms in a TikTok Cinderella challenge video. The international folklore surrounding a young girl living a life of misery and servitude to her wicked stepmother and sisters, only to later find love and happiness with a handsome prince
Showing posts with label Fashion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fashion. Show all posts
Saturday, February 20
Rihanna Through the Years: Look Back at Her Rise From Singer to Business Mogul
Since the early aughts, Rihanna has made a name for herself in not only the music industry but also the worlds of movies, fashion, beauty and beyond. Born Robyn Rihanna Fenty in Barbados in 1988, the singer was discovered by Jay-Z in 2005
Wednesday, February 17
'Our culture is not your costume': Rihanna photo sparks social media backlash in India
Rihanna is facing accusations of cultural appropriation and religious insensitivity after she posted a topless image of herself wearing a pendant depicting the Hindu god Ganesha. The photo, which appeared on her Twitter
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Tuesday, February 16
Do At-Home Lasers And Facial Skin Care Tools Really Work?
Nearly a year into the pandemic, our beauty routines have undergone a cataclysmic shift. As people shy away from elective cosmetic dermatology treatments and medi-spas, we’ve seen a boom in at-home devices claiming
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The Best Skin Care Products For Dark Skin, According To Dermatologists
Skin care isn’t one-size-fits-all. Many things factor into whether a product will work for you, from formulation to skin type and even skin tone. If you have darker skin, you may have received questionable advice about how to treat your skin, from skipping sunscreen (don’t) to treating scarring and pigmentation.
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The Many, Many Face Masks Of Nancy Pelosi
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has had a busy year, to say the least. Nary a day goes by without seeing her on our TV screens. And while the issues she’s dealt with this year alone have ranged from insurrection to impeachment, one thing remains consistent ― she’s always wearing a face mask.
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Hey Gen Z, We Need To Talk About Skinny Jeans
This is an article for Gen Z. If you’re not Gen Z, just keep scrolling. See that? That was was my millennial attempt to use a TikTok format to show you that I am *hip* and *cool* and agree with Gen Z on a lot of things
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How To Find The Best Sports Bras That Offer Proper Support For Workouts
Finding activewear is far from difficult these days. A few minutes on Instagram alone will bring you a handful of ads about the comfiest leggings, the cutest matching sets or the best sports bras.
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Thursday, February 11
Taylor Swift announces she's re-recorded 'Fearless' album with new version of 'Love Story' coming at midnight
In typical Taylor Swift fashion, the global country-turned-pop-star made a surprise announcement on Thursday that she is releasing new versions of her old music very soon. A clip of the 31-year-old singer appeared on "Good Morning America"
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Monday, February 1
From fashion to Christmas decoration: Rules that First Lady Jill Biden is expected to follow
First Lady Jill Biden made history when she announced she would continue teaching during her time at the White House, making her the first FLOTUS to do a paid job outside of the executive mansion.“I’m really looking forward to being First Lady
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Sunday, February 27
Academy Award 2011 Time Closes in at 8:30 PM
Movie fans and pundits have waited months for this day to arrive. However, the buildup for the big night, and the questions around the major categories, are usually more thrilling than the show itself. This year could be no different, especially if things are as predictable as expected.
Well before the Oscars 2011 time got close, most of the major categories were determined. Most of the audience expects a final coronation for Colin Firth, Natalie Portman, Christian Bale and David Fincher, among others. A month ago, they expected The Social Network to walk away with Best Picture, but now The King's Speech has become the inevitable best bet.
The only major races with suspense may be Best Supporting Actress, and Best Picture. Fittingly, Best Supporting Actress is among the night's first awards, although it'll be a three/three-and-a-half hour wait for Best Picture after that. In between, audiences hope not to be lulled to sleep.
But when the Oscars 2011 time comes around, the major questions will surround the hosts, and the show itself. Anne Hathaway and James Franco are a new kind of hosting duty, so viewers wonder what kind of routines they've been given. However, Deadline Hollywood warned that the schedule is likely to be another "snorefest" anyway.
If Hathaway and Franco can't elevate things, and balance out the lack of drama for the awards, it could be a rather long night. But much of the awards season has been predictable and obvious - even the comeback by The King's Speech. Therefore, a boring night to wrap it up would be fitting, albeit very unpopular.
(source:associatedcontent.com)
Tuesday, September 14
Katie Piper Support
Support Katie Piper,
North West Hampshire woman who had acid thrown in her face after being raped, has waived her right to anonymity to help other burns victims.
The attack on 26 year old Katie Piper in a London street in 2008 was ordered by her ex-boyfriend Daniel Lynch.
Just days earlier, he'd sexually assaulted her and held her captive for eight hours.
She described her shock when she first saw herself: "My first reaction was that that's not me in the reflection, and where is my reflection. It was very hard to understand, it was like an identity crisis, looking in the mirror but not seeing your own reflection, seeing a stranger."
Katie, a former Harrow Way Community School pupil, now has to wear a plastic pressure mask for 23 hours a day and had to endure 34 operations and skin grafts to reconstruct her face.
Daniel Lynch was sentenced to life in prison, and the man he hired to carry out the attack, Stefan Sylvestre, was also jailed - the judge calling them 'the face of pure evil'.
Katie told her story in a TV documentary in October 2009 and also featured in Channel 4's prestigious Alternative Queen's Speech programme on Christmas Day 2009.
She has now set up the Katie Piper Foundation to help other victims and encourage people to accept those with disfigurements.
Katie told Andover Sound: "The Foundation's really exciting for me, it's a great way to start 2010, and what I'm hoping is that, as I had a lot of help and support, I can help other people who are in my situation.
"The long term goal of the Foundation is to get the treatment that I had abroad in France, made available to everyone in the UK."
You can find out more about the Foundation and donate to it by clicking here
Katie has thanked people for their messages of support. Comments have been posted on this website from people all over the world.
Feel free to leave your own message below.,
Support for Katie Piper,
Rosie of New Zealand says:
12:15 on Thursday 15th July 2010
"wow, just watched your doco. one word comes to mind and that is amazing, your strength and beauty are amazing, you may not look the same as before but you are still beautiful, your great heart and inner beauty shine through. It was so inspiring to watch your doco, I have a real passion to help people and was almost crying at the end, and I hope that I can grow to be as strong a woman as you are. I think your story will really help people to look at others in a new light, to see the beauty even though they may not look the same or have some dis-figuration. Just because people don't look perfect doesn't mean they aren't beautiful and amazing. Thanks for sharing your story, once again you are such a strong young woman and I really admire you. Gob bless you."
Esther Simmons of Daytona Beach Florida says:
18:11 on Wednesday 7th July 2010
"Katie you are truly a remarkable person. Our God knows how to take care of us. The spirit bares witness that you are chosen to carry scars as our Savior carries the Scars for us all. Your beauty has been made whole . Nothing can destroy your spirit. Beauty does fade but inter beauty is pure. You had to go thru the fire and I am so sad for that time. Yet I am so proud our God never left you and he will never forsake you. You wont know all you have done for so many till we are in heaven. My friend Roz will have her breast removed on July 8th. She is like any other woman very distraught about it. She saw you on 20/20 and she wants to write you. You encouraged her . She wants you to know that she saw only your beauty when she watched. Thank you for having the courage to tell the world and not think of your own image nut that of the world. "
Piotr of Poland says:
09:11 on Tuesday 6th July 2010
"What the hell are you doing dating some subhuman trash from Africa in the first place? Not enough civilized white English men who wouldn't throw acid all over your face for you to choose from? Mudsharking brought Nicole Simpson death, it disfigured your face and there are many other such cases in Europe and America. You say you lost your beautiful face? You lost your beauty when you first decided to date this hideous baboon, and frankly, I feel zero sympathy for you."
Paul Young of North Andover, MA USA says:
05:08 on Monday 5th July 2010
"Katie, July 4th, 2010. Don't watch TV but caught your story on Hulu from 20/20. You are still beautiful. Go on, live your life. Have children that will worship you. With all the negative stuff out there turn this into a positive. Meet some gentle and loving man who can appreciate your spirit and beauty. If no other message finds its way into your life I hope its mine. Smile and be happy. -youngster- USA"
Sarah of San Francisco, California, USA says:
02:05 on Sunday 4th July 2010
"Hi Katie, I saw you on 20/20 last night and am very impressed by your inner strength, delightful personality, and good sense of humor. You are beautiful inside and out. I wish you all the best in your long life ahead. Lots of love to you! xoxo"
Beth Nash of USA says:
21:44 on Saturday 3rd July 2010
"Hello Katie, I saw your story on 20/20 last night and was so inspired by what an amazing spirit you have. You have both inner and outer beauty and will have a charmed life. Beth "
Steve of Alexandria, VA U.S. says:
04:03 on Saturday 3rd July 2010
"Katie, I saw your story on 20/20 tonight and I am so very sorry that someone would do something so terrible to you! nobody should ever be treated even close to that way. Those guys are like monsters and don't deserve to live! You are a brave woman and I wish I could do something to repair your confidence in life and people again. You don't deserve to be scared, you are a beautiful individual: Your friend and admirer in the U.S. "
Kylie of Wisconsin says:
03:58 on Saturday 3rd July 2010
"Katie, I saw your story on 20/20. I wanted to tell you that no matter the scars, you will always be beautiful, both on the inside and outside. The men that hurt you have caused you pain, but they will never take away the beautiful away from you, ever. Your a wonderful girl, and you inspire me so deeply. "
Abby of New Zealand says:
09:32 on Monday 17th May 2010
"I have just watched your documentary and feel compelled to leave you a message here. You are truly an inspiration Katie. Your strength, courage, determination and good humour are amazing. I hope you have every success in your endevours and hold your head high - you are beautiful. Much love xox"
ayesha saeed of centerville says:
01:44 on Friday 19th March 2010
"dearest katie, u are dearly a very amazing ans wonderful woman.i wish u the best and bestest in everything."
Brett of Qld, Australia says:
00:20 on Sunday 7th March 2010
"What an extremely brave and inspirational woman! In my thoughts and prayers."
Jakob Kimbin of Grimmenstein, Austria says:
12:31 on Thursday 11th February 2010
"Dear Katie, after seeing your story on tv yesterday, I've got a desire to write some words to you. It's really sad and heartbreaking what happened to you. Why are there man, who cannot accept a "NO, not yet" or something like that. A real man should accept that. I cannot imagine, what you've been through, but you impressed me very much. Don't mind people, who are reducing you to your scars or staring at you. For me you're still beautiful. I think there's a light that surrounds you, which comes straight out of your heart and soul. It would be a pleassure to get and stay in contact (a pen-friendship maybe if you like) with you. I hope that your dreams, of your own family with children will come true and that your strenght, confidence and courage will never end. You deserve it. Keep on shining Katie. A big hug and smile from Austria, especially to you, but also to your wonderful family, yours Jakob. sorry for my bad english. hope you get the time to read all the stuff here on this site. "
Chris of Lueneburg,Germany says:
17:46 on Wednesday 10th February 2010
"To the most beautyful Girl in the world! Dear Katie,yesterday,I saw your Story on TV. I was totally shocked!! I feel so sorry for what happening to you!! let me teel you something,from the bottom of my heart,katie,you are a beautyful young lady! You are wearing your heart as a crown!! What a pity,that you are living in england,smile!! To me,your face is still beautyful! it´s your heart and your soul,what makes you beautyful,I see it and I feel it!! you are the strongest person I ever saw in my hole life!! Please,keep going on!! I wish you and your family all the best for the future,I send you love and energy and hope! As you told,that you are like to have a man and a family,I thought again : What a pity,that you are so far away.....,BIG SMILE!! maybe,I hear from you?? EVEN BIGGER SMILE!!!! But the most important thing is,you are a good person and I wish you the best,my love. With a smile in my face,I say bye bye. Yours,Chris"
Keni of Munich says:
02:33 on Wednesday 10th February 2010
"Auch wenn es etwas seltsam klingt, aber ich finde heute Katie auch noch hübsch. Echt schade, dass sie aus England ist =(. Viele Grüße aus Deutschland ! "
Sandra of Germany says:
02:15 on Wednesday 10th February 2010
"dear katie, I've just seen your report on tv.. I admire you for your strength and your brave and I would like to tell you that I had never seen such a beautiful and inspiring woman before.. everyone can see the beauty inside of you, this beauty gives you such a amazing charisma.. you will grow with this experience and you're more beautiful now than you've ever been before. I wish you that all your dreams will come true.. best wishes for you and your lovely family from Germany sandra"
Sven of Liechtenstein says:
09:34 on Tuesday 9th February 2010
"Dear Katie Yesterday on German television I was captivated by your story! Even with all the misery ongoing on this planet earth (like Haiti and and and) I could not get the broadcast out of my head. Like you said in the reportage “the beauty behind a face…..” I saw one of the most beautiful girls yesterday – thanks. Sven"
Günter Zellner of Bern says:
06:51 on Tuesday 9th February 2010
"Dear Miss Piper! if ever in your life you need a knight to defend you, to protect you or to help you - you found it in me. just let me know! i'm not a killer - even if the persons who did cause this to you maybe need one - i'm a surgeon in a small hospital neer Bern - and i want to say: you are a wonderful and strong person and- to you direct: very, very attractively and amazing women!!!"
Hanna H of Germany says:
21:21 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Dear Katie, like many others, I've seen your documentary on Germany TV. You're an extremely brave woman! Thanks for your courage to tell your story. That's outstanding. And 'by the way': You're an absolutely beautiful woman!!! I wish you all the very best from Germany. And I'm totally convinced: You'll find what you wish for: A caring man and kids and a normal life! Hanna"
Kathrin of Jena, Germany says:
20:44 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Dear Katie, I saw ur Story today in the German TV. First u are a such wonderful person, ur story touch my heart deeply.I think, what happend to u is bad, but its never kill u. Its makes u stronger for life. U have a wonderful family around u. U said, u like to have a normal life, the doc helped u with ur face, and now keep on to realize ur wish. U are so a strong person, i´m sure that u will have ur own little family. Don´t give up. U give so many other´s hope! Thats wonderful. God bless u, and ur family. i look up to u.U are so great!!!!!!!!!! Greetings from Jena, Kathrin"
Jorg, 27 of Berlin, Germany says:
20:36 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Katie, just wanted to say, that seeing you on TV impressed me and that you looked good. The way you handle your situation is just amazing, with such a personality you will be fine for sure. Byebye"
Anke of Essen says:
20:29 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Dear Katie, I have just watched your story on German TV and I agree to those who said, that you are a brave and beautiful girl. Walk on, Katie! We (Jürgen and Anke from Essen in Germany) are wishing you the best for the future! Best regards from Germany!"
indrawati of germany says:
20:26 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Hi katie, I was so deeply touch seeing your story on German TV today. I believe it's a very hard siuation for you, but you've made it and raised again. 2 thumbs up. keep moving on girl!!!"
Anke of Germany says:
20:18 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Hey Katie, today I saw your story on German TV and I just wanna say: you´re still a beautyful woman! The doc did a great job and you look like a normal girl - really. Wish you all the best from the bottom of my heart. Good Luck"
Chris of Germany says:
20:00 on Monday 8th February 2010
"Hi Katie, I saw your story on TV and just wanted to say: I think you are still beautiful and I love how you handle your situation. Keep it on"
Nina of Germany says:
12:25 on Wednesday 3rd February 2010
"you are still very beautiful!!!And iam look up to you!"
Marcus Seiler of Dueren, Germany says:
14:39 on Tuesday 2nd February 2010
"Hello Katie, yesterday I saw the TV docu on your fate at the German TV, and I was very shocked in the first moment. But the more the docu lasted, the more I was impressed how you handle this, with all the good and the bad moments. Your story teaches humility towards life. Attractivness i not just defined by good looks. It's the entireness of character, behaviour, thinking, speaking, charisma, knowledge, experience, courage. Perhaps you find it a little bit strange to read these words written by someone, who is not suffering from a comparable situation, but: You are definitely a very, very attractive woman!"
Nemo of Germany says:
12:48 on Tuesday 2nd February 2010
"i love you katie..!"
Joana of Berlin, Germany says:
11:39 on Tuesday 2nd February 2010
"Dear Katie, I am about your age and I watched your documentary on German television last night. When I first saw you, I thought that you were very pretty. I had only seen ten seconds of the program and didn't know what it was about. It wasn't a shot from very far away and I could clearly see your scars, still I though gosh, what a beautiful girl. And I don't mean "beautiful on the inside" or any of that [censored] you obviously get a lot, I mean it in the most superficial, shallow way: you are very beautiful. Hope you will get to read this somehow, best wishes from Berlin Joana"
Richie & Alime of Berlin, Germany says:
09:26 on Tuesday 2nd February 2010
"Dear Katie, we're speechless: You are ...amazing Wishing you continued strength, happiness, success and fulfilment. You have our support, Richie & Alime. "
Jasmina of Germany says:
23:03 on Monday 1st February 2010
"Dear Katie, I just saw your story on TV. Honestly, you're someone I look up to. You've been through a lot and you keep fighting. My best wishes to you and your family - stay beautiful!! Because you truly are beautiful in every single way "
Andreas of Berlin says:
22:34 on Monday 1st February 2010
"hi katie just saw your story to night at germans television.... your just strong and be a real beautyfull woman ! my biggest compliments greetings to you and your family best wishes andreas"
Michael of Germany says:
22:25 on Monday 1st February 2010
"Dear Katie, today i've seen your Dokumentation on German TV. It left me speakless and with Tears in my Eyes. But to see you are Fighting and show that you look forward to the Future shows that you are really amazing. You still are Beautyfull Katie and you have a great Personality. I wish you all the Best and please excuse my bad English "
karin of Germany says:
22:06 on Monday 1st February 2010
"Kathi, I think you are still beautiful! So sympathic and I love your smile! :) "
Manuela of Andover Hampshire says:
18:42 on Thursday 21st January 2010
" What you have been through put us all to shame. You have my unswerving admiration ... "
Lenna of Greece says:
08:48 on Thursday 21st January 2010
"Dear Katie, I first heard of you through the promo of a Greek TV show you will be appearing in. I think that you are beautiful and amazing-I wish you all the best from now on!"
Jennifer of Monterey California says:
00:16 on Tuesday 19th January 2010
"Dearest Katie, You are my new HERO!!! You are an insperation to us all,such an amazing Woman you are and all I see is the most BEAUTIFUL person I have seen in a very long time.. God Bless you today and everyday."
Christina Reeves of Wales says:
13:55 on Friday 15th January 2010
"Katie, my boyfriend and I sat in tears watching you on channel 4 last night. We were both awe struck at how brave you are and we both think your an inspiration and showed amazing strength of character. You are still very attractive and have a lot to live for. Butterflies with broken wings are still beautiful nothing can change that. We hope you continue to stay positive and we wish you all the very best for the future. You are a star.xxxxx."
Jared of Washington State says:
19:46 on Wednesday 13th January 2010
"You are an amazing and beautiful woman"
Tiffany Rose of Los Angeles, California says:
06:56 on Sunday 10th January 2010
"I'm a British journalist living in LA and I just watched your story on 20/20. Katie, you are a remarkable young woman. You are truly an inspirational lady. I have never encountered such bravery and positivity. As corny as this sounds, you really are a beautiful woman inside and out. I wish you all the best in helping others in your new venture. I can't think of a better wonderful role model. All the best to you. Tiffany x"
Ches Berger of St Louis Missouri says:
11:07 on Saturday 9th January 2010
"Hello Katie. I just wanted you to know, that i think you are the most beautiful and amazing person in the world. I would be the luckiest person to have a woman like you as my special someone. My prayers will always be with you."
jillian of minnesota, USA says:
04:11 on Saturday 9th January 2010
"after watching your story on 20/20, just wanted to let you know how truly beautiful you are! :) "
christina of atlanta says:
04:06 on Saturday 9th January 2010
"Hi Katie, watched your story on 20/20. Just want you to know that you are so beautiful, inside and out. I pray that the good Lord continues to use you to minister to others. Stay strong."
Kelsey of Madison, WI (USA) says:
03:59 on Saturday 9th January 2010
"Hi Katie - I just saw you on 20/20. I just want to let you know that you are a beautiful woman. Thank you for bringing awareness to your situation - you are making the world a better place."
Sarah of Nottingham says:
21:39 on Friday 1st January 2010
"Dear Katie, I just watched your documentary and I wanted you to know that you're an inspiration and, if my daughter is half as brave as you are, that I will be so proud. You are still a very beautiful young lady with fabulous hair and, although you are self-conscious, I wanted you to know that you're still beautiful (and I don't just mean 'on the inside'). May 2010 bring you and your family much joy and happiness. "
Matt Seward of Cardiff says:
22:41 on Wednesday 30th December 2009
"Hi Katie, I have no idea whether you will read this or not but I was moved to say something having watched your documentary. I had read your story before and felt moved by the needless brutality and the strength of spirit you showed in dealing with it and the bravery you showed in coming forward which I know would be an inspiration to many people who have suffered but also to those of us that see the human spirit as capable of overcoming such evilness. I felt moved to say that the beautiful person you are came through so vividly I felt love for someone I didn't know. I can't imagine any man meeting you and not seeing the beautiful woman you are Love Matt"
Angie of Andover says:
16:11 on Wednesday 30th December 2009
"hi Katie i used to babysit for u when u were tiny and u are still as beautiful today as u were then. i wish u all the luck in the world for ur future and hope u get to do all the things u want to do with love Angie"
Kevin of Singapore says:
22:40 on Friday 25th December 2009
"I just watched your documentary on the television. I appreciate your strong courage despite this great trial that you have had to bear. I want you to know that you are still a person who many people admire and respect. In fact you have shown qualities that beauty cannot replace. Thank you for your inspiration. I pray and hope you will find great happiness in your life. "
Scooby of Durham says:
22:14 on Friday 25th December 2009
"I just watched the documentary on Ch4 and I was moved by your courage and detirmination. I'd never heard of this before so when the program ended I Googled, and read the Wikipedia rundown, then found this site. I can't believe that pig Danny Lynch could be out in 16 yrs, and the one who threw the acid could be out in 12yrs. There should be a campaign for life to mean life, with no minimum sentence. Had Katie died from the attack they would have served at least 25 yrs. You are still a very beautiful girl Katie, your face may be scarred for now, but your beauty comes from inside, and no-one can take that away from you. Good luck for the future."
Mutinta of London says:
21:53 on Friday 25th December 2009
"Hi Katie, I have been touched by your story, and my thoughts have been on you and impacted my way of thought and future. Your story creates change! and provokes thought too...x Love and prayers Mutinta.xxxxxxxxxxxx"
david joseph of chorley lancs says:
21:52 on Friday 25th December 2009
"Hey Katie its all about family and friends in a crisis and it seems you have the best around you just when you need them. Really sorry this horrible attack happened to you. Stay strong you have certainly touched our hearts this xmas and i am sure you have so much good you can do for others,you have so much to look forward to with that inner strength and support of you`re lovely family. Merry xmas to you and have a great 2010. "
Armagan of Turkey says:
20:55 on Friday 25th December 2009
"I just came across with your story on TV and wanted to tell you that I felt proud how brave you are. People like you and your wonderful family makes this world a much better place to live for everyone. Thank you so much for coming forward and teaching all of us a good lesson about life. You are beautiful"
Bart of Belgium says:
01:59 on Monday 21st December 2009
"Good luck to you! You've been very strong, keep up! Be strong, girl"
kerry hasler of andover says:
18:02 on Friday 18th December 2009
"hay there hun hope all is going well 4 u . still in shock of what happend to u i think u do when its someone u know,i will never understand why but just remember this when ever you find yourself fading close your eyes and remember that your friends and family are ur energy lots of love kerry hasler xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"
braibant stefaan of belgium says:
01:18 on Thursday 17th December 2009
"katie you are verry strong and you are still beautifull grts from belgium xxxx stefan i wisch you a verry and nice life xxxx"
Jan Morup of New York says:
00:19 on Thursday 3rd December 2009
"I am very sorry for what you had to go through and admire you greatly for coming forward to draw attention to this outrageous form of violence. By doing so I am sure you help others and, through awareness, prevent the spreading of this barbarism. That is something I hope you are proud of and others will draw inspiration from. Best wishes Jan Morup"
corey roten of mississippi USA says:
11:09 on Wednesday 2nd December 2009
"dear katie, i have just now ran across your story on the internet. you are a living tribute to what the human soul and spirt can over come,, i have a 5 year old daughter and i can only hope that she will grow up in a world that she has people such as your self to look up to and find insperation from. you are truly beautiful inside and out. with best regards Corey"
Darrell L. Monette of Dallas,TX says:
06:28 on Friday 27th November 2009
"Dearest Katie, I just heard about your story on American TV and I'm extremely sad that you had to experience such a horror. I'm also moved by your beauty and wonderful attitude. Katie, I only wish you peace and happiness. Please know that the WORLD loves you."
Diana Sholl of Reading says:
20:56 on Saturday 21st November 2009
"I still think you look beautiful Katie, the way you move the way you use your hands and the things you say. Nothing can make you anything but because your heart and mind are true and intelligent. Your life will be great from now on, nothing will stop you after all you have been through. I cannot believe that this country has such flimsy laws that these people will ever ever come out of prison. Good luck to you Katie in your new life."
Chris of near Andover says:
17:03 on Friday 20th November 2009
"All the best for the future Katie, with your attitude you'll go as far as you wish to. Take care. x"
Elizabeth Hutchins of Surrey says:
11:25 on Thursday 19th November 2009
"Dearest Katie, I recently watched the program about you, what can I say, you are so brave and your Mum, Dad and sister are so supportive of you, things can only improve now that the court case is over, I hope you felt that justice has been done and our prison system does not release these two evil things, I can't call them people, to repeat their deeds on some other unsuspecting young woman. Do take care and don't let them spoil the rest of your life, they are not worth a thought, I hope they get their just desserts in prison. My love and support to you and your lovely family, Elizabeth xx"
Brendon of Sydney Australia says:
21:47 on Tuesday 17th November 2009
"Wow, what a lady. Whatever words I can throw together are not enough to do justice to you. I feel for you but would also love to have a fraction of your strength. You have come so far and will go much further. You are an angel."
Nella of Melbourne Australia says:
05:50 on Tuesday 17th November 2009
"Dear Katie, I watched your story on 60 minutes on Sunday and I think you are the most beautiful women I have ever seen on television. Inside and out. You cannot begin to imagine how many people you are blessing and encouraging around the world with your story. I felt very encouraged. I pray that the right man comes into your life soon. "
Warren of Melbourne, Australia says:
22:16 on Monday 16th November 2009
"I watched a segment on Katie on Australian 60 minutes Sunday night. I was devastated for Katie, yet after seeing how resilient and strong Katie is, I can't stop thinking what a great person she is, and her strength of character has lifted me somehow, don't make me explain it lol. Katie, you're amazing, stick in there."
Hayden Foote of Perth, Australia says:
12:41 on Monday 16th November 2009
"Good on you Katie! Strong and beautiful ... xxx"
Andy Mac of Brisbane says:
05:34 on Monday 16th November 2009
"You give us all hope and clearly you have a very bright future with lots of people around you that love you very much. Remember that every day you live your life to the fullest, that scumbag in gaol fails dismally. And he is a failure. What amazes me is that he was allowed to continue to live in our fine Country after having thrown boiling water over someone else....what does it take to remove someone like this from society?????? Good Luck, Kate. Keep fighting..... Andy"
Ernie of Australia says:
01:39 on Monday 16th November 2009
"Hi Katie. Well you sure got my attention last night on 60 minutes. I am a Quadriplegic, 17 years. When my accident happened I just wanted to die as well. The nights were the worst. All the why me and so on would drive my crazy. So hey I know where you are coming from. You now see what so many disable people see. The way people act before and after is a real eye opener. In my eyes I see a very beautiful lady and an even more beautiful mind. I Would love to be a friend. :)"
Jeni of Sydney says:
01:11 on Monday 16th November 2009
"Dear Katie Thank you for sharing your story. I could not take my eyes from you - you are the most beautiful and charasmatic person I have ever seen. I think that anyone that has the opportunity to spend time with you is truely priviledged. You are a true inspiration. You parents must be so proud of you. Sending you love and best wishes Jennifer "
Michelle of Australia says:
23:06 on Sunday 15th November 2009
"I was so heartbroken to hear your story, may your life from now on be blessed and full of happiness. xoxoxox"
Harrison Ford of Australia says:
13:35 on Sunday 15th November 2009
"Hey Katie =) Im 16 yrs old and dont usually watch this news show called 60 minutes in austrailia, but tonight just having finished dinner ur amazing story came on. I was drawn to ur story. I could not believe wat that animal did to u. You r one brave, amazing and a truly beautiful women. I would wish to have ur inner strenght which you have. You are going to have such an amazing life and find that one true love. Your one special girl. Harrison Ford =)"
Katie of Salisbury says:
21:46 on Saturday 14th November 2009
"Documentary was amazing. I live just a few miles away from where you grew up I think, and I would be awesomely happy to meet you some day and buy you a beer / vodka / WKD or whatever your poison is! Keep on smiling :) Love from another Katie xx"
Sarah of Essex says:
00:33 on Saturday 14th November 2009
"I know you must get so many messages saying you are brave and beautiful, but i cant help bu message you, i felt compelled to. I was in tears throughout that documentary, but at the end, when you walked your dog to the shop. I actually felt proud of you and i dont know you. I felt so happy that someone who has such a horrible attack done to them, has managed to overcome such a milestone. You are so brave, and i think you are a light of inspiration to so many people, its astonishing. And its not through pity or sadness, its because despite everything you could still see this lovely bubbly personality shine through, and that is why you are so amazing. You are amazing, and dont ever forget it."
Emma Salisbury of Little Sutton Cheshire says:
09:43 on Thursday 12th November 2009
"Hi Katie, I hope i word this right....... After watching your programe i feel compelled to write to you. What an amazingly strong person you are (i know you must hear that all the time) you are such a beautiful person inside & out. When you had your make up for your party i could'nt even see anything wrong with your face! I can honestly say (& said to all my friends) you are more glamoures & beautifel than i'll ever be, you have such a lovely way about you & your humour even sowed through. Take care & stay strong! Em x"
Katherine of Swansea says:
21:40 on Wednesday 11th November 2009
"Katie you are strong, brave and still incredibly beautiful. The two boys deserve to have the same thing done to them best wishes xx"
Priyanjalee Perera of Leeds says:
14:31 on Wednesday 11th November 2009
"Katie, I too have disfiguring scars and ever since I was a litte girl, I've felt inadequate and ugly because of them. Seeing your bravery and positive outlook has given me a new appreciation of my life. Thank you so much for inspiring me. Over the last few I've been gaining more confidence to show my scars and wear what I want and not give a damn about what other people think. To me, you still look physically beautiful and you have a great figure! You've helped me see the beauty in myself too :-) I wish you all the best, Priyanjalee xxx"
sid of london says:
08:25 on Monday 9th November 2009
"i think your an amazing woman, who is sooo beautifull in the inside and out, full of courage and strength your an inspiration, i wud love to have the priveldge of meeting you some day. take care and follow your dreams, your a shinning star. xx"
Mandy Kaur of WOLVERHAMPTON says:
14:00 on Monday 2nd November 2009
"Katie you are a strong strong woman and an inspiration to me, i cannot stop thinking about your story and what you have had to deal with.You were a beautiful woman then and still a beautiful woman now.,,You are a credit to your family. Live your dreams girl you will be happy and will have lots and lots of babies and they will be proud my dear to have a mum like you!! I would like to write to you if that is possible. Love and utter respect Mandy x"
Michael of Colchester says:
23:59 on Friday 30th October 2009
"Hi katie, just seen your documentary on channel 4 and I've got to say your so brave! You have your whole life ahead of you, and still are very beautiful, inside and out. Much love, Mike"
Kelly and Phil of Surrey says:
20:26 on Friday 30th October 2009
"Katie, we have just watched your programme and think you are an inspiration to everyone. You have a real positive attitude and others should learn from you. We wish you all the best in your future."
lisa of london says:
15:13 on Friday 30th October 2009
"Hi Katie, You have touched my heart like so many others. You have an amazing family,with love & support from friends. Wish you the very best...lisa x"
claire of London says:
02:18 on Friday 30th October 2009
"This world is becoming more and more full of evil, its terrible. Katie is very brave and very courageous, i hope she can live a better and full life in the future. Those men do not deserve to live. They better not get out early for "good behaviour" as most criminals seem to do these days!"
Chris Hughes of South East London says:
23:02 on Thursday 29th October 2009
"Hello Katie. What an amazing person you are, seeing your story on the the TV and in the papers brings out so much good in people i think. Now, im not an mega-religious person myself and maybe you're not either but remember this quote from the Bible if it ever it can help you as its so beautiful and i never forget it- "And God shall wipe away all tears from (our) eyes; and there shall be no more death, neither sorrow, nor crying, neither shall there be any more pain: for the former things are passed away" Revelation 21:4 Chatting with you would make my day, Love Chris. "
Lorraine Abrahams of Bristol says:
22:37 on Thursday 29th October 2009
"Katie Me and my family have just watched the documentary. My children are 9 and 11 and whilst perhaps sometimes you may question this, we all agreed you are stunning, beautiful woman. Honestly! And, your bravery is incredible. Do not let them win Katie you have an amazing future. "
vicki of london says:
20:20 on Thursday 29th October 2009
"Hi Katie, I so admire you're bravey & courage. I read you're story and felt sickened & saddened by what happened to you but you have stayed so strong, keep strong, you're amazing!. Best wishes"
nick parry of andover says:
17:52 on Friday 23rd October 2009
"u r so so brave, u were beautiful at school n still r, take care."
Amanda of Basingstoke says:
10:37 on Thursday 22nd October 2009
"Hi Kate, we both worked together at Beechdown x it's an absolute honour to say I'm your friend x you are an amazing women xx"
Scott Cousins of Oxford says:
21:10 on Tuesday 20th October 2009
"Hi katie, I have read your story in the daily mail and seen your interviews on television following your incident. Your attitude has given me such inspiration. I felt very upset just reading your story, i cant even begin to imagine what it was like going through all that. You have beat the beasts and shown the world that inner beauty can never be taken away! Meeting you would be such a privilidge :) Scott X"
Charlene (Charlie) of Andover says:
19:36 on Tuesday 20th October 2009
"Hi Katie, we went to B.C.O.T together (a few years back)! Do you remember Alton Towers toilets? The hand dryers?? (Was v. funny...) You are beautiful and very courageous, stay strong XXx"
Jenny of Roman Way says:
18:22 on Tuesday 20th October 2009
"Katie you are a very brave, beautiful young lady, your courage is unbelievable. Look to the future now sweetheart and believe that you cannot be hurt by this scum anymore. Have a good life, you deserve it. xx"
andy of andover says:
16:35 on Tuesday 20th October 2009
"katie you are a real brave lady,how any one could do this to you is beyond belief. i just hope these evil scum that did this to you never ever come out of prison.look after yourself and take care."
Ann of Andover says:
11:20 on Tuesday 20th October 2009
"You are a very brave girl"
Tara Day of Andover says:
09:15 on Tuesday 20th October 2009
"You know already how amazing we think you are Katie! A shining light in the midst of darkness. Keep smiling and we'll see you soon. Love The Daysies xx"
Alan Resident of Andover says:
20:07 on Monday 19th October 2009
"Never realised she was a local girl. Those 2 were evil and if they ever get out it would be too soon. Best wishes Katie - you are one seriously brave woman!"
(source:andoversound.com)
Tuesday, August 17
Futurology
Overview
Futures is an interdisciplinary field, studying yesterday's and today's changes, and aggregating and analyzing both lay and professional strategies, and opinions with respect to tomorrow. It includes analyzing the sources, patterns, and causes of change and stability in the attempt to develop foresight and to map possible futures. Around the world the field is variously referred to as futures studies, strategic foresight, futurology, futuristics, futures thinking, futuring, prospectiva (in Spain, Portugal and Latin America), futuribles (which, in France, is also the name of the important 20th century foresight journal published only in French). Futures studies (and one of its subdisciplines, strategic foresight) are the academic field's most commonly used terms in the English-speaking world.
Foresight may be the oldest term for the field. In a 1932 BBC broadcast the visionary author H.G. Wells called for the establishment of "Departments and Professors of Foresight," presaging the development of modern academic futures studies by approximately 40 years. Futurology is a term common in encyclopedias, though it used almost exclusively by nonpractitioners today, at least in the English-speaking world. Futurology is defined as the "study of the future." The term was coined by German professor Ossip K. Flechtheim in the mid-1940s, who proposed it as a new branch of knowledge that would include a new science of probability. This term may have fallen from favor in recent decades because modern practitioners stress the importance of alternative and plural futures, rather than one monolithic future, and the limitations of prediction and probability, versus the creation of possible and preferable futures.
Three factors usually distinguish futures studies from the research conducted by other disciplines (although all disciplines overlap, to differing degrees). First, futures studies often examines not only possible but also probable, preferable, and "wild card" futures. Second, futures studies typically attempts to gain a holistic or systemic view based on insights from a range of different disciplines. Third, futures studies challenges and unpacks the assumptions behind dominant and contending views of the future. The future thus is not empty but fraught with hidden assumptions. For example, many people make predictions of the fall of this Earth's ecosystem, in the near future.
Futures studies does not generally focus on short term predictions such as interest rates over the next business cycle, or of managers or investors with short-term time horizons. Most strategic planning, which develops operational plans for preferred futures with time horizons of one to three years, is also not considered futures. But plans and strategies with longer time horizons that specifically attempt to anticipate and be robust to possible future events, are part of a major subdiscipline of futures studies called strategic foresight.
The futures field also excludes those who make future predictions through professed supernatural means. At the same time, it does seek to understand the models such groups use and the interpretations they give to these models.
Probability and predictability
Some aspects of predicting the future, such as celestial mechanics, have been discovered to be highly statistically predictable, and may even be described by relatively simple mathematical models. At present however, science has yielded only a special minority of such "easy to predict" physical processes. Theories such as chaos theory, nonlinear science and standard evolutionary theory have allowed us to understand many complex systems as contingent (sensitively dependent on complex environmental conditions) and stochastic (random within constraints), making the vast majority of future events unpredictable, in any specific case.
Not surprisingly, the tension between predictability and unpredictability is a source of controversy and conflict among futures studies scholars and practitioners. Some argue that the future is essentially unpredictable, and that "the best way to predict the future is to create it." Others believe, as Flechtheim, that advances in science, probability, modeling and statistics will allow us to continue to improve our understanding of probable futures, while this area presently remains less well developed than methods for exploring possible and preferable futures.
As an example, consider the process of electing the president of the United States. At one level we observe that any U.S. citizen over 35 may run for president, so this process may appear too unconstrained for useful prediction. Yet further investigation demonstrates that only certain public individuals (current and former presidents and vice presidents, senators, state governors, popular military commanders, mayors of very large cities, etc.) receive the appropriate "social credentials" that are historical prerequisites for election. Thus with a minimum of effort at formulating the problem for statistical prediction, a much reduced pool of candidates can be described, improving our probabilistic foresight. Applying further statistical intelligence to this problem, we can observe that in certain election prediction markets such as the Iowa Electronic Markets, reliable forecasts have been generated over long spans of time and conditions, with results superior to individual experts or polls. Such markets, which may be operated publicly or as an internal market, are just one of several promising frontiers in predictive futures research.
Methodologies
Futures practitioners use a wide range of models and methods (theory and practice), many of which come from other academic disciplines, including economics, sociology, geography, history, engineering, mathematics, psychology, technology, tourism, physics, biology, astronomy, and aspects of theology (specifically, the range of future beliefs).
Future Studies takes as one of its important attributes (epistemological starting points) the on-going effort to analyze alternative futures. This effort includes collecting quantitative and qualitative data about the possibility, probability, and desirability of change. The plurality of the term "futures" in futurology denotes the rich variety of alternative futures, including the subset of preferable futures (normative futures), that can be studied.
Practitioners of the discipline previously concentrated on extrapolating present technological, economic or social trends, or on attempting to predict future trends, but more recently they have started to examine social systems and uncertainties and to build scenarios, question the worldviews behind such scenarios via the causal layered analysis method (and others) create preferred visions of the future, and use backcasting to derive alternative implementation strategies. Apart from extrapolation and scenarios, many dozens of methods and techniques are used in futures research .
Future Studies also includes normative or preferred futures, but a major contribution involves connecting both extrapolated (exploratory) and normative research to help individuals and organisations to build better social futures amid a (presumed) landscape of shifting social changes. Practitioners use varying proportions of inspiration and research. Futures studies only rarely uses the scientific method in the sense of controlled, repeatable and falsifiable experiments with highly standardized methodologies, given that environmental conditions for repeating a predictive scheme are usually quite hard to control for. However, many futurists are informed by scientific techniques. Some historians project patterns observed in past civilizations upon present-day society to anticipate what will happen in the future. Oswald Spengler's "Decline of the West" argued, for instance, that western society, like imperial Rome, had reached a stage of cultural maturity that would inexorably lead to decline, in measurable ways.
Future Studies is often summarized as being concerned with "three P's and a W," or possible, probable, and preferable futures, plus wildcards, which are low probability but high impact events (positive or negative), should they occur. Many futurists, however, do not use the wild card approach. Rather, they use a methodology called Emerging Issues Analysis. It searches for the seeds of change, issues that are likely to move from unknown to the known, from low impact to high impact.
Estimates of probability are involved with two of the four central concerns of foresight professionals (discerning and classifying both probable and wildcard events), while considering the range of possible futures, recognizing the plurality of existing alternative futures, characterizing and attempting to resolve normative disagreements on the future, and envisioning and creating preferred futures are other major areas of scholarship. Most estimates of probability in futurology are normative and qualitative, though significant progress on statistical and quantitative methods (technology and information growth curves, cliometrics, predictive psychology, prediction markets, etc.) has been made in recent decades.
Futures techniques
While forecasting—i.e., attempts to predict future states from current trends—is a common methodology, professional scenarios often rely on "backcasting" -- i.e., asking what changes in the present would be required to arrive at envisioned alternative future states. For example, the Policy Reform and Eco-Communalism scenarios developed by the Global Scenario Group rely on the backcasting method. Practitioners of futures studies classify themselves as futurists (or foresight practitioners).
Futurists use a diverse range of forecasting methods including:
Anticipatory thinking protocols:,
Causal layered analysis (CLA),
Environmental scanning,
Scenario method,
Delphi method,
Future history,
Monitoring,
Backcasting (eco-history),
Back-view mirror analysis,
Cross-impact analysis,
Futures workshops,
Failure mode and effects analysis,
Futures biographies,
Futures wheel,
Relevance tree,
Simulation and modelling,
Social network analysis,
Systems engineering,
Trend analysis,
Morphological analysis,
Technology forecasting,
Shaping alternative futures,
Futurists use scenarios - alternative possible futures - as an important tool. To some extent, people can determine what they consider probable or desirable using qualitative and quantitative methods. By looking at a variety of possibilities one comes closer to shaping the future, rather than merely predicting it. Shaping alternative futures starts by establishing a number of scenarios. Setting up scenarios takes place as a process with many stages. One of those stages involves the study of trends. A trend persists long-term and long-range; it affects many societal groups, grows slowly and appears to have a profound basis. In contrast, a fad operates in the short term, shows the vagaries of fashion, affects particular societal groups, and spreads quickly but superficially.
Sample predicted futures range from predicted ecological catastrophes, through a utopian future where the poorest human being lives in what present-day observers would regard as wealth and comfort, through the transformation of humanity into a posthuman life-form, to the destruction of all life on Earth in, say, a nanotechnological disaster.
Futurists have a decidedly mixed reputation and a patchy track record at successful prediction. For reasons of convenience, they often extrapolate present technical and societal trends and assume they will develop at the same rate into the future; but technical progress and social upheavals, in reality, take place in fits and starts and in different areas at different rates.
Many 1950s futurists predicted commonplace space tourism by the year 2000, but ignored the possibilities of ubiquitous, cheap computers, while Marxist expectations of utopia have failed to materialise to date. On the other hand, many forecasts have portrayed the future with some degree of accuracy. Current futurists often present multiple scenarios that help their audience envision what "may" occur instead of merely "predicting the future". They claim that understanding potential scenarios helps individuals and organizations prepare with flexibility.
Many corporations use futurists as part of their risk management strategy, for horizon scanning and emerging issues analysis, and to identify wild cards - low probability, potentially high-impact risks. Every successful and unsuccessful business engages in futuring to some degree - for example in research and development, innovation and market research, anticipating competitor behavior and so on.
Weak signals, the future sign and wild cards
In futures research "weak signals" may be understood as advanced, noisy and socially situated indicators of change in trends and systems that constitute raw informational material for enabling anticipatory action. There is confusion about the definition of weak signal by various researchers and consultants. Sometimes it is referred as future oriented information, sometimes more like emerging issues. Elina Hiltunen (2007), in her new concept the future sign has tried to clarify the confusion about the weak signal definitions, by combining signal, issue and interpretation to the future sign, which more holistically describes the change.
"Wild cards" refer to low-probability and high-impact events, such as existential risks. This concept may be embedded in standard foresight projects and introduced into anticipatory decision-making activity in order to increase the ability of social groups adapt to surprises arising in turbulent business environments. Such sudden and unique incidents might constitute turning points in the evolution of a certain trend or system. Wild cards may or may not be announced by weak signals, which are incomplete and fragmented data from which relevant foresight information might be inferred. Sometimes, mistakenly, wild cards and weak signals are considered as synonyms, which they are not.
Near-term predictions
A long-running tradition in various cultures, and especially in the media, involves various spokespersons making predictions for the upcoming year at the beginning of the year. These predictions sometimes base themselves on current trends in culture (music, movies, fashion, politics); sometimes they make hopeful guesses as to what major events might take place over the course of the next year.
Some of these predictions come true as the year unfolds, though many fail. When predicted events fail to take place, the authors of the predictions often state that misinterpretation of the "signs" and portents may explain the failure of the prediction.
Marketers have increasingly started to embrace future studies, in an effort to benefit from an increasingly competitive marketplace with fast production cycles, using such techniques as trendspotting as popularized by Faith Popcorn.
Trend analysis and forecasting
Mega-trends
Trends come in different sizes. A mega-trend extends over many generations, and in cases of climate, mega-trends can cover periods prior to human existence. They describe complex interactions between many factors. The increase in population from the palaeolithic period to the present provides an example.
Potential trends
Possible new trends grow from innovations, projects, beliefs or actions that have the potential to grow and eventually go mainstream in the future (for example: just a few years ago, alternative medicine remained an outcast from modern medicine. Now it has links with big business and has achieved a degree of respectability in some circles and even in the marketplace).
Branching trends
Very often, trends relate to one another the same way in which a tree-trunk relate to branches and twigs. For example, a well-documented movement toward equality between men and women might represent a branch trend. The trend toward a minimizing differences in the relationship between the salaries of men and women in the Western world could form a twig on that branch.,
Life-cycle of a trend,
When does a potential trend gain acceptance as a bona fide trend? When it gets enough confirmation in the various media, surveys or questionnaires to show it has an increasingly accepted value, behavior or technology. Trends can also gain confirmation by the existence of other trends perceived as springing from the same branch. Some commentators claim that when 15% to 25% of a given population integrates an innovation, project, belief or action into their daily life then a trend becomes mainstream.
suggestions for thinking about the future
"Any useful idea about the future should appear to be ridiculous." (Jim Dator)
"Take hold of the future or the future will take hold of you." (Patrick Dixon)
"The future is clear to me. What I don't understand is the present." (Gerhard Kocher)
"There are no future facts." (Fred Polak)
"A part of our future appears to be evolutionary and unpredictable, and another part looks developmental and predictable. Our challenge is to invent the first and discover the second." (John Smart)
"The problem with the future is that it keeps becoming the present." (Calvin, of Calvin and Hobbes)
"Prediction is difficult - especially of the future." (Mark Twain)
History
Future Studies emerged as an academic discipline in the mid-1960s, according to first-generation futurists Herman Kahn, Olaf Helmer, Bertrand de Jouvenel, Dennis Gabor, Oliver Markley, Burt Nanus, and Wendell Bell.However, some intellectual foundations of future studies appeared in the mid-19th century. In 1997, Wendell Bell suggested that Comte's discussion of the metapatterns of social change presages future studies as a scholarly dialogue.
Johan Galtung and Sohail Inayatullah go further back arguing in Macrohistory and Macrohistorians that the search for grand patterns of social change takes us back to Ssu-Ma Chien (145-90BC) and his theory of the cycles of virtue, though a more intelligible - to modern sociology - would be the work of Ibn Khaldun (1332–1406) and his The Muqaddimah It is here that we gain a coherent theory of social change. One might make a stronger argument that futurology as a field originated in the early 20th century, intertwined with the birth of systems science in academia, and with the idea of national economic and political planning, most notably in France, the Soviet Union and Eastern bloc countries.
Differing approaches arose in Western Europe (mostly in France), in Eastern Europe (including the Soviet Union), in the post-colonial developing countries, and in the United States of America. In the 1950s European people and nations continued to rebuild their war-devastated continent. In the process, academics, philosophers, writers, and artists explored what might constitute a long-term positive future for humanity as a whole, and for their own countries in particular. The Soviet Union and the Eastern bloc countries participated in the European rebuilding, but did so in the context of an established national economic planning process, which also required a long-term, systemic statement of social goals. The newly-independent developing countries of Africa and Asia faced the challenge of constructing industrial infrastructure from a minimal base, as well as constructing national identities with concomitant long-term social goals. By contrast, in the United States of America, futurology as a discipline emerged from the successful application of the tools and perspectives of systems analysis, especially with regard to quartermastering the war-effort.
There is a perceived schism - though given the globalization of knowledge, generally no longer relevant - between future studies in America and future studies in Europe: U.S. practitioners often seem to focus on applied projects, quantitative tools and systems analysis, whereas Europeans seem to investigate the long-range future of humanity and the Earth, what might constitute that future, what symbols and semantics might express it, and who might articulate these.
With regard to future studies within the former centrally-planned economies, or within the newly-developing countries, differences with U.S. futures practice exist primarily because futures researchers in the United States have no opportunity to engage in national planning, nor do their fellow-citizens call upon them to construct national symbols. This is changing in the early 21st century, as early signs of overshoot and collapse are apparent, and modern applications of futures studies techniques found in the UNESCO Sustainability Education materials.
By the late 1960s, enough scholars, philosophers, writers and artists around the world had begun to question and explore possible long-range futures for humanity to form an international dialogue. Inventors such as Buckminster Fuller also began highlighting the effect technology might have on global trends as time progressed. This discussion on the intersection of population growth, resource availability and use, economic growth, quality of life, and environmental sustainability — referred to as the "global problematique" — came to wide public attention with the publication of Limits to Growth, a study sponsored by the Club of Rome. This international dialogue became institutionalized in the form of the World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF), founded in 1967, with the noted sociologist, Johan Galtung, serving as its first president. In the United States, the publisher Edward Cornish, concerned with these issues, started the World Future Society, an organization focused more on interested laypeople.
The field currently faces the great challenge of creating a coherent conceptual framework, codified into a well-documented curriculum (or curricula) featuring widely-accepted and consistent concepts and theoretical paradigms linked to quantitative and qualitative methods, exemplars of those research methods, and guidelines for their ethical and appropriate application within society. As an indication that previously disparate intellectual dialogues have in fact started converging into a recognizable discipline, at least six solidly-researched and well-accepted first attempts to synthesize a coherent framework for the field have appeared: Eleonora Masini's Why Futures Studies, James Dator's Advancing Futures Studies, Ziauddin Sardar's Rescuing all of our Futures,Sohail Inayatullah's Questioning the future, Richard A. Slaughter's The Knowledge Base of Futures Studies,a collection of essays by senior practitioners, and Wendell Bell's two-volume work, The Foundations of Futures Studies.
Evolving the field - Programs in Futures Studies (by region)
North America
1975 saw the founding of the first graduate program in futures studies in the United States, the M.S. Program in Studies of the Future at the University of Houston–Clear Lake; there followed a year later the M.A. Program in Public Policy in Alternative Futures at the University of Hawaii at Manoa. The Hawai'i program provides particular interest in the light of the schism in perspective between European and U.S. futurists; it bridges that schism by locating futures studies within a pedagogical space defined by neo-Marxism, critical political economic theory, and literary criticism. In the years following the foundation of these two programs, single courses in Futures Studies at all levels of education have proliferated, but complete programs occur only rarely. As a transdisciplinary field, futurology attracts generalists. This transdisciplinary nature can also cause problems, owing to it sometimes falling between the cracks of disciplinary boundaries; it also has caused some difficulty in achieving recognition within the traditional curricula of the sciences and the humanities. In contrast to "Futures Studies" at the undergraduate level, some graduate programs in strategic leadership or management offer masters or doctorate programs in "Strategic Foresight" for mid-career professionals, some even online. Nevertheless, comparatively few new PhDs graduate in Futures Studies each year.
Education
Education in the field of future studies has taken place for some time. Beginning in the United States of America in the 1960s, it has since developed in many different countries. Futures education can encourage the use of concepts, tools and processes that allow students to think long-term, consequentially, and imaginatively. It generally helps students to:
conceptualise more just and sustainable human and planetary futures
develop knowledge and skills in exploring probable and preferred futures
understand the dynamics and influence that human, social and ecological systems have on alternative futures
conscientize responsibility and action on the part of students toward creating better futures.
Thorough documentation of the history of futures education exists, for example in the work of Richard A. Slaughter (2004) , David Hicks, Ivana Milojević and Jennifer Gidley to name a few.
While future studies remains a relatively new academic tradition, numerous tertiary institutions around the world teach it. These vary from small programs, or universities with just one or two classes, to programs that incorporate futurology into other degrees, (for example in planning, business, environmental studies, economics, development studies, science and technology studies). Various formal Masters-level programs exist on six continents. Finally, doctoral dissertations around the world have incorporated futurology. A recent survey documented approximately 50 cases of futures studies at the tertiary level.
The largest Futures Studies program in the world is at Tamkang University, Taiwan. Futures Studies is a required course at the undergraduate level, with between three to five thousand students taking classes on an annual basis. Housed in the Graduate Institute of Futures Studies is an MA Program. Only ten students are accepted annually in the program. Associated with the program is the Journal of Futures Studies.
As of 2003, over 40 tertiary education establishments around the world were delivering one or more courses in futures studies. The World Futures Studies Federation has a comprehensive survey of global futures programs and courses. The Acceleration Studies Foundation maintains an annotated list of primary and secondary graduate future studies programs.
Futurists
Main article: Futurist
Several authors have become recognized as futurists. They research trends (particularly in technology) and write accounts of their observations, conclusions, and predictions. In earlier eras, many of the futurists were attached to academic institutions. For example John McHale, the futurist who wrote the book The Future of the Future, and published a Futures Directory, directed his own Centre For Integrative Studies which was a Think Tank within the university setting. Other early era futurists followed a cycle of publishing their conclusions and then beginning research on the next book. More recently they have started consulting groups or earn money as speakers. Alvin Toffler, John Naisbitt and Patrick Dixon exemplify this class.
Many business gurus present themselves as pragmatic futurists rather than as theoretical futurists. One prominent international "business futurist", Frank Feather, coined the phrase "Thinking Globally, Acting Locally" in 1979.
Some futurists share features in common with the writers of science fiction, and indeed some science-fiction writers, such as Arthur C. Clarke, have acquired a certain reputation as futurists. Some writers, though, show less interest in technological or social developments and use the future only as a backdrop to their stories. For example, in the introduction to The Left Hand of Darkness, Ursula K. Le Guin wrote of prediction as the business of prophets, clairvoyants, and futurists, not of writers: "a novelist's business is lying".
A study (The study consisted of 108 entries; 78 were men and 30 were women. Those from OECD nations accounted for 75 entries and non-OECD 33 entries)[34] on what futurists think found the following shared assumptions. The shared assumptions were:
1. We are in the midst of a historical transformation. Current times are not just part of normal history.
2. Multiple perspectives are at the very heart of futures studies. Multiple methods, finding ways out of the box of conventional thinking, internal critique, cross-civilisational conversations, are among the ways they are expressed.
3. Creation of alternatives. Futurists do not see themselves as merely value-free forecasters but as creators of alternative futures.
4. Participatory futures. Futurists generally see their role as liberating the future in each person. Creating enhanced public ownership of the future. This is true worldwide, for the African or European futurist.
5. Long term policy transformation. While some are more policy oriented than others, almost all believe that the work of the futurist is to shape public policy so it consciously and explicitly takes into account the long term.
6. Part of the process of creating alternative futures and of influencing public (corporate, or international) policy is internal transformation. There was no divide between institutional and inner transformation that one so often notices at international meetings. Futurists saw structural and individual factors as equally important.
7. Complexity. Futurists believe that a simple one-dimensional or single discipline orientation is not satisfactory. Trans-disciplinary approaches that take complexity seriously are necessary. Systems thinking, particularly in its evolutionary dimension, is also seen as crucial.
8. Futurists in general were motivated by a passion for change. They are not content merely to describe the world, or to accurately forecast it. They desire to play an active role in transforming the world, or playing a part in its transformation.
9. The significance of hope cannot be stressed enough as a pivotal force in creating a better future.
10. However, even with hope as a “strange attractor”, pragmatism is not lost sight of. Most believe they are pragmatists, living in this world, even as they imagine and work for another. Futurists understand that they are in a business or mission for the long term. Merely one article, book or vision does not make for transformation. Rather it is consistent effort over a life time that can help create a better world future generations.
11. Sustainability was a given. It almost didn’t need to be mentioned. Sustainable futures, understood as making decisions that do not reduce the options of future generations, that thus include the long term, the impact of policies on nature, gender and the other, appears to be the accepted paradigm. This is so for the corporate futurist and the NGO. Moreover, sustainability, in its green sense, appears to have been reconciled with the technological, spiritual and post-structural ideal of transformation. It is thus not a simplistic ideal of sustainability (i.e., back to nature) but rather a paradigm that is inclusive of technological and cultural change.
Application of foresight to specific fields
Practical foresight
The most significant trends affecting organisations know no borders or markets and affect every part of society today. Global trends, uncertainties and wild cards have the potential to significantly change the way the world works tomorrow. They may impact on you far faster, and more profoundly, than you might think.
Organisations too face additional new challenges including:
Severe competition
Market convergence
New entrants
High volatility in all aspects of their activities
Greater prospects for global, national and local disruption and shock are increasingly in evidence. Forecasting models projecting past patterns can therefore no longer be relied upon to predict the future. Shaping the world we want to live in means being more aware of the future and seeking better approaches..
A new, more agile and resilience focused, approach is being led by smart, forward-thinking organisations. They have learned that searching for emerging trends, tipping points and weak signals is a vital intelligence tool to help them survive and thrive in an ever more competitive future.
What can be done? In a world where only uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity seems to be the norm these days organisations need wider global knowledge obtained from many more external sources and a new set of cognitive skills to determine their best future responses.
The following critical cognitive skills need to be mastered:
Trend assessment: the competency to understand trend directions, weak signals and wildcards, assess their likely impact and effect on one another and respond in a timely and appropriate manner
Pattern recognition: the ability to see patterns rather than individual factors
System perspective: the capability to envision the entire system rather than the isolated components
Anticipation: to anticipate short and long term consequences over time, novel situations and geography
Instinct and logic: to rely on a combination of instincts and logic rather than purely rational analysis
Organisations that inspire, engage and enable their people to use foresight through developing their strategic competencies can acquire and maintain a sustainable futures-orientated edge in their global marketplace(s).
Next practice Leading organisations use systematic, collaborative and strategic foresight capabilities to see what's coming next and respond ahead of the competitive curve. This guide serves as a documented description of how our clients, and others well known to us, achieve successful outcomes, avoid upcoming risk, innovate and thus create next practice through practical foresight.
Source: First chapter - 'Practical Foresight': www.shapingtomorrow.com
Fashion is one area of trend forecasting. The industry typically works 18 months ahead of the current selling season. Large retailers look at the obvious impact of everything from the weather forecast to runway fashion for consumer tastes. Consumer behavior and statistics are also important for a long-range forecast.
Artists and conceptual designers, by contrast, may feel that consumer trends are a barrier to creativity. Many of these ‘Startists’ start micro trends but do not follow trends themselves.
Research centers
Center for Futures Studies and Knowledge Management
Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies
Futures Studies Department, Corvinus University of Budapest
Department of Futures Studies, University of Kerala, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India
Futures Research Committee of Hungarian Academy of Sciences
Finland Futures Research Centre, Turku School of Economics and Business Administration
Foresight and Futurology Unit, a BT Group think tank
Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies, University of Hawai`i at Mānoa
Institute for Alternative Futures, Alexandria, Virginia
Institute for Futures Research, South Africa
Kairos Future, Sweden
Prospective 2100 , France, Brazil, Cameroun
Institute for the Future, Palo Alto, California
Laboratory for Investigation in Prospective Strategy and Organization, CNAM Paris
National Intelligence Council, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Washington DC,
Tellus Institute, Boston MA
UK Horizon Scanning Centre, London,
World Future Society,
The Futures Academy, Dublin Institute of Technology, Ireland
Futuribles,
SUBITO! Research&Futures, Europe/Norway,
Zukunftsinstitut, Europe/Germany,
proGective, Europe/France,
World Futures Studies Federation, world,
Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment, Europe/Germany,
Future-Institute, Europe/Germany,
Pakistan Futuristics Institute,
University of Houston Futures Studies ,
(source:wikipedia)
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