Friday, October 15

United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010

The 2010 United States Senate election in Maryland will be held on November 2, 2010. The primary election is Sept. 14, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski is running for re-election to a fifth term.

Background

According to Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski has indicated she plans to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tie Paul Sarbanes as the longest serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process. On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.
High-profile opposition for Mikulski is not anticipated since she remains popular in the state. She has previously won senate elections in 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state Republicans are expected to focus most of their attention on the seats of governor Martin O'Malley and first-term congressman Frank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state.Nitkin and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball consider her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."


Democratic primary 

Candidates of Baltimore


  1. Christopher Garner
  2. Billy Bob Jaworski
  3. Barbara Mikulski, Incumbent U.S. Senator
  4. Theresa Scaldaferri
  5. Blaine Taylor
  6. Sanquetta Taylor
  7. Lih Young





Results of Baltimore



Democratic Primary results
PartyCandidateVotesPercentage
DemocraticBarbara Mikulski (Incumbent)388,86882.32%
DemocraticChristopher J. Garner35,5797.53%
DemocraticA. Billy Bob Jaworski15,1313.20%
DemocraticBlaine Taylor10,7872.28%
DemocraticTheresa C. Scaldaferri7,9131.68%
DemocraticSanquetta Taylor7,3651.56%
DemocraticLih Young6,7331.43%
Totals472,376100%




Republican primary





Candidates

  •  of Baltimore

    • Joseph Alexander

    • Barry Steve Asbury

    • Neil Cohen, Dentist

    • Stephens Dempsey

    • Samuel Graham

    • John B. Kimble, Behavioral Scientist

    • Gregory Kump

    • Daniel McAndrew, Engineer

    • Jim Rutledge, Lawyer

    • Eddie Vendetti

    • Eric Wargotz, Queen Anne's County Commissioner and Doctor





Results

Republican Primary results
PartyCandidateVotesPercentage
RepublicanEric Wargotz92,46438.57%
RepublicanJim Rutledge73,31130.58%
RepublicanJoseph Alexander14,0265.85%
RepublicanNeil H. Cohen13,6135.68%
RepublicanStephens Dempsey9,3253.89%
RepublicanDaniel W. McAndrew8,4603.53%
RepublicanJohn B. Kimble8,0813.37%
RepublicanSamuel R. Graham, Sr.6,6002.75%
RepublicanBarry Steve Asbury5,9002.46%
RepublicanEddie Vendetti5,0462.10%
RepublicanGregory Kump2,9311.22%
Totals239,757100%

General election

Candidates



Major

  • Barbara Mikulski (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Eric Wargotz (R), Queen Anne's County Commissioner and Doctor



Minor

  • Richard Shawver (Constitution)
  • Natasha Pettigrew (Green)
  • James Guy Adams (Libertarian)



Predictions

SourceRanking
Cook Political ReportSafe D
RothenbergSafe D
Swing State ProjectSafe D
Real Clear PoliticsSafe D
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe D
CQ PoliticsSafe D





Polling

Poll SourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Barbara Mikulski (D)Eric Wargotz (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 15, 2010750± 4.0%54%38%4%4%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 20, 2010750± 4.0%55%39%3%3%
Public Policy Polling (report)July 10-12, 2010569± 4.1%59%27%––14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 8, 2010500± 4.5%58%33%2%7%


Fundraising

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebtCash minus Debt
Barbara Mikulski (D)$3,266,050$1,247,551$2,892,987$0$2,892,987
Eric Wargotz (R)$773,259$229,754$543,402$575,000$(31,598)
Source: Federal Election Commission




(source:wikipedia)
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